For the Kicker situation, I used 2023. I calculated every made FG of 50+ and again at 55+.
I also used what I would call reasonable judgement on the FG that were made to either end the Half, the Game, or otherwise were in a situation where they lined up maybe a little longer than normal for that K, with a lower risk if missed it due to little clock left half/game.
33 kickers made a FG of 50 or more.
Total 50+ made was 158
25 of those FGs were HT/end of game/close to either.
20 kickers made a FG of 55 or more.
Total 55+ made was 42
12 of those FGs were HT/end of game/close to either.
Of those 20 Kickers to hit 55+, 3 had their only 55+ FGs as a HT/end of game/close situation. 1 was Butker and we know he has lined up in “non-clutch times” for long than 55.
Also, Justin Tucker had an awful season at 1/5 from 50+, none from 55+.
To summarize, I did not count any misses. There may have been more of the HT/end of game/close attempts.
Appx 28% of the 55+ made were under those circumstances. I disagree with take on kickers generally only lining up for 55+ because of the clock.
This is where Folk’s weak leg comes into play. I don’t know his max, but 53 was the high last year. He kicked 54 in 2022, hasn’t made 55 since 2015.
We can also see that more than half the league uses a K for 55+ at any given time because they know they have a K with that leg.
I know I explained my position earlier, but this is where I’m willing to risk Folk’s accuracy for someone with a stronger leg.
