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Haha, yeah exactly. That why I never buy lottery tickets. They are waste of money. And if you notice, I said “be lucky if even one of them works out”…. Just like a lottery ticket. A long shot. And I’d rather spend a 2nd on a long shot than mortgage the house on one.

But in the NFL you HAVE to have a decent QB to win. So you you have to keep searching until you land one. And the odds to hit on a QB if you keep throwing enough chit against the wall is better than 100 million to one.

I’d rather roll the dice with a second round pick than have mortgaged everything to trade up for one of the other three top QB prospects, that I feel have just as many flaws as Levis.

Right there. You can get a 'decent' QB later than the 2nd round. Which odds are greater / worse, finding that ONE QB who elevates your entire team or elevating your entire team via the draft and landing a 'decent' QB? It's precisely because QBs are such a carpshoot, I'd rather build my team around the QB vs hunting for that QB first.
 
I like Downs a lot, but we would probably not use him because he's too small to run block. Tillman. Is probably more like the Titans type.
 
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