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Marcus Mariota and Jamis Winston say:
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You've been provided evidence to the contrary, if winning the SB is the goal.
Also, Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russell say "hello".

Peyton and Burrow say hi right back.

There is no evidence to the contrary. You are far less likely to hit on a QB picked after the 1st round. That's a fact.
 
Peyton and Burrow say hi right back.

There is no evidence to the contrary. You are far less likely to hit on a QB picked after the 1st round. That's a fact.
So don’t trade up and just take a QB at 11.
Of the 4 QBs on the hype train, 1 is bound to be there at 11.
 
So don’t trade up and just take a QB at 11.
Of the 4 QBs on the hype train, 1 is bound to be there at 11.

That's a terrible plan. QB is the most important position on the field. It would be dumb to blindly pick one. Go get the guy you want instead of hoping someone falls in your lap.
 
That's a terrible plan. QB is the most important position on the field. It would be dumb to blindly pick one. Go get the guy you want instead of hoping someone falls in your lap.
If QB is what TN takes, I hope they take Levis. He should be there at 11.

Id rather then spend the effort rebuilding the OL but I get it and clearly at some point the owner has to give in to fans and just get a QB to appease them (not all of them).
No QB in this draft is worth forfeiting the rest of the draft or next year’s draft for. And statically none of the QBs has a better chance than the others based on where they are picked (draft #, not team location).
If TN takes a QB, sit him 100% of year 1. Don’t even risk him behind the OL that wasn’t rebuilt taking a QB.
 
So does Pat Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Aaron Rodgers.

HT summed it up pretty well:
“good QBs” dont win SB, only “very good” do and some of them are drafted in the 3rd rd or 6th round. And not all “very good” QBs win a SB.

It seems like the SB winning QB is only drafted in the top 10 about once every 5 years (Mahomes at 10, Stafford at 1, although won on a different team, Ben/Eli before that).

And does it equate to SB wins?
List of teams that picked a top 10 QB the last 25 years and if they won the SB with said top 10 QB:
2021 Jax/Jets/SF - remains to be seen, I think the Jets are out
2020 CIN/mia/LAC - remains to be seen, but pretty good class like 2004
2019 ARZ/NYG- remains to be seen? Not looking great
2018 Cle/NYJ/Buf/ARZ - maybe buffalo? Kind of a playoff choker though
2017 chi/KC - there’s 1, Mahomes
2016 rams/Phi - nope
2015 TB/TEN - nope
2014 Jax - nope
2012 Ind/was/mia - nope
2011 car/ten/Jax - nope
2010 rams - nope
2009 Det/NYJ - nope
2008 Atl - soooooo close but nope
2007 Oak - nope
2006 ten/ARZ - nope
2005 SF - nope
2004 LAC/NYG - I’ll count Eli since he was really drafted to play NYG
2003 CIN/Jax - nope
2002 Hou/Det - nope
2001 Atl - nope
1999 Cle/Phi/CIN - nope
1998 ind/lac - the bigger Manning makes 3.

3 in 25 years, 43 top 10 QBs. What’s worse is how many times you see the same teams over and over just keep trying as other teams that aren’t doing this are winning the SB almost exclusively.
 
"Hey guys, let's trade the best player in the history of the Tennessee years so we can draft a guy who will sit on the bench and be cut in three years."

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If QB is what TN takes, I hope they take Levis. He should be there at 11.

Id rather then spend the effort rebuilding the OL but I get it and clearly at some point the owner has to give in to fans and just get a QB to appease them (not all of them).
No QB in this draft is worth forfeiting the rest of the draft or next year’s draft for. And statically none of the QBs has a better chance than the others based on where they are picked (draft #, not team location).
If TN takes a QB, sit him 100% of year 1. Don’t even risk him behind the OL that wasn’t rebuilt taking a QB.

I'm sure most felt Mahomes wasn't worth trading up for.
 
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